Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FTM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.393341 0.463047 0.539660 0.629859 0.732884 0.846618 0.981398
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.283490 0.374881 0.485443 0.627931 0.805458 1.018024 1.290334
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.218266 0.319281 0.451931 0.636268 0.882753 1.197574 1.626096
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.171727 0.274999 0.420816 0.637110 0.944190 1.358056 1.950063
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.132200 0.230691 0.379532 0.613951 0.965259 1.461864 2.203773
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.113087 0.212522 0.371749 0.635448 1.048669 1.655908 2.595352
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.096970 0.195480 0.362015 0.650902 1.122347 1.839745 2.984663
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.088164 0.189086 0.367976 0.690942 1.236544 2.091555 3.492006
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.074373 0.170544 0.349866 0.687556 1.278985 2.234399 3.841522
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.062242 0.152575 0.329642 0.677070 1.307057 2.354675 4.161843
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.052709 0.137848 0.312938 0.670132 1.339274 2.482364 4.500567
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.046648 0.129389 0.307052 0.682268 1.405615 2.670683 4.949696
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.040711 0.120142 0.298551 0.689048 1.464241 2.852673 5.405211
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.035267 0.110862 0.288539 0.691537 1.515028 3.024805 5.855826
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.031181 0.104093 0.282954 0.702338 1.582526 3.231166 6.378774
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.027103 0.096304 0.273693 0.703906 1.631465 3.406439 6.856523
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.022238 0.084885 0.253687 0.678881 1.623472 3.474244 7.143071
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.020403 0.082188 0.254954 0.702427 1.718447 3.743528 7.815140
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.018476 0.078676 0.253513 0.719320 1.800446 3.992490 8.462394
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.017773 0.079126 0.262757 0.762993 1.944147 4.371127 9.374522
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.015444 0.073174 0.253323 0.759307 1.982391 4.541421 9.895674
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.013200 0.066792 0.241477 0.747876 2.001781 4.674158 10.350162
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.011385 0.061446 0.231661 0.740312 2.029003 4.823932 10.844846